Saturday, October 24, 2009

NFL Week 7 Preview

New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers(Playing in London)
Spread: Patriots, -14.5
o/u: 45
Last week, the only thing that stopped the Patriots was pulling Tom Brady with a big lead in the 3rd quarter. This week the only thing that might stop them is jet lag.
Pick: Patriots 41 - Buccaneers 6
Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread: Steelers, -5.5
o/u: 45.5
I believe that Favre is the answer. I believe Favre will find a way. Blessed Union of Souls, you gave us so much. Brett Favre has given the Vikings a 6-0 start. The Vikes may be middle-of-the-pack in yardage, but being second in the league in points scored counts for something. And that something is 7-0.
Pick: Vikings 34 - Steelers 28

San Francisco 49ers @ Houston Texans
Spread: Texans, -3
o/u: 44
Week 7. Thats an odd number. That means the Texans lose this week. Seriously though, when your offense is averaging just 1 point more than your defense is giving up, an 8-8 record looks like your destiny.
Pick: 49ers 24 - Texans 13

Indianapolis Colts @ St Louis Rans
Spread: Colts, -13.5
o/u: 45
The third worst defense in the league and lowest scoring offense vs the league's best passing game the defense with the second lowest points allowed and the spread is only 13.5? I can remember about 15 years ago when the Packers played the Buccaneers and the spread was 45. Not to mention the Colts should have Bob Sanders back this week, which means their rush defense should go from 14th to about 3rd. This could end up looking like last weeks Titans-Pats game.
Pick: Colts 45 - Rams 6

San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Spread: Chargers, -4.5
o/u: 44
I've been saying the Chargers are overrated for the last three seasons, and now it looks like the rest of America is finally catching on. Still, the Chiefs are terrible, and coming off a "big win" against the also terrible Redskins doesn't change anything. They may have taken the Cowboys to OT, but the Cowboys look overrated this year, too. The wildcard in this game is the reports that LaDanian Tomlinson might have the flu. Who am I kidding, Darren Sproles is a better back at this point, anyway.
Pick: Chargers 24 - Chiefs 10

Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns
Spread: Packers, -9
o/u: 41
In their last games, the Packers beat the Lions 26-0, and the Browns gave up 417 yards to Ben Roethlisberger. The Browns offense is actually worse than the Lions. Their defense is better, but only slightly. Lets be honest here: the Packers and Patriots have a chance to shut-out teams in back-to-back games here. Unfortunately, this game is actually being played in America.
Pick: Packers 28 - Browns 6

NY Jets @ Oakland Raiders
Spread: Jets, -6
o/u: 34.5
I would love to tell you the Jets have the better team, and they'll go into Oakland and crush the Raiders. Unfortunately, I've watched the Jets the last two weeks. Add to that the fact that the Raiders are 12-2-1 at home aginst the Jets since 1963(I know, its obscure), and I don't have high hopes for this one. Plus: Raiders Pidgeon is a monster on kickoff coverage.
Pick: Raiders 17 - Jets 14

Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers
Spread: Panthers, -7
o/u: 36.5
In what will probably be the least watched game of the weekend(the Lions have off), two possibly past-their-prime receivers will battle it out to determine which one might have something left in the tank. With significant injuries to the Bills defense, the win goes to Steve Smith.
Pick: Panthers 20 - Bills 10

Atlanta Falcons @ Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys, -3
o/u: 47.5
The Falcons blew out the 49ers and beat Chicago last week, but they're a dog to the Cowboys, who had to go to OT to beat Kansas City? Craziness abounds in this weeks betting lines. If it were up to me, Atlanta would be the three point fevorite, here. Dallas hasn't beaten a good team so far this year, and it won't start now.
Pick: Falcons 24 - Cowboys 21

Chicago Bears @ Cincinnati Bengals
Spread: Bengals, -1
o/u: 42.2
Both teams are playing with resurgent QBs this year, and both teams are coming off tough losses. But the Bears D still isn't the same without Urlacher, and Matt Forte has been a disappointment this year. The Bengals run defense won't help that any.
Pick: Bengals 24 - Bears 17

New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins
Spread: Saints, -6.5
o/u: 47
What actually makes this game kind of close are the defenses. They both give up exactly the same yards per game, and the Saints are slightly better against the pass than the run. Miami's Wildcat is the best in the league, and they'll run it all day if they can. The tipping point here is the Saints offense. They can beat you any way they want, with deep passes, screens out of the backfield, or a run game that averages 157 yards per. With Chad Henne under center, a quick lead by the Saints could mean he'll have to throw the ball more than the Dolphins want him to, and the Saints D will make him look like they made Mark Sanchez look in Week 4.
Pick: Saints 38 - Dolphins 17

Arizona Cardinals @ NY Giants
Spread: Giants, -7
o/u: 46.5
The Giants looked silly against the Saints, and the Cardinals made the Seahawks look silly in a blowout. The saving grace for the Giants will be Arizona's inconsistency. They win big one week, and follow it up with a let down the next. With back-to-back wins for the first time this season, they're due for a bad loss. The Cards are completely dependent on their passing game this year, and the Giants are first in passing defense and total yards allowed per game. Could this be the third shutout of the day? Probably not, but it will be a big win for the G-Men.
Pick: Giants 31 - Cardinals 14

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