Saturday, September 26, 2009

NFL Week 3 Preview

Tennessee Titans @ NY Jets
Spread: Jets, -2.5
o/u: 37
In Week 1, Tennessee's offense looked weak and their defense looked good. Then, in Week 2, their defense look pourous, but their offense found some life. The inconsistency on both sides of the ball has the Titans at 0-2, and going on the road against the 2-0 Jets. This is the first game of the season where the Jets will be the favorite. They have one of the best defenses in the league, but their offense is still a question mark. But as long as that D continues its outstanding play, the Jets can keep the score low and pull out a win.
Pick: Jets 17 - Titans 10

NY Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread: Giants, -6.5
o/u: 45
This is a case of two opposite teams. On paper, the Bucs look talented and should win some games. The Giants look like they have a strong defense and running game, but not a passing game that will help them win. But the Bucs come in 0-2, and the Giants are 2-0. With the sudden emergence of the Giant's receivers last week in Dallas, they have some confidence in both parts of their offense. Against a Bucs team that is clearly bad, the G-men will win easily.
Pick: Giants 31 - Buccaneers 13

Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions
Spread: Redskins, -6.5
o/u: 38.5
A lot of people are picking this to be the game Detroit wins. I'm not one of them. Sure, the Redskins look weak, and the Lions look one game away from putting it all together, but they looked like that all last season, too. This might be a close game, but it won't be the one Detroit wins.
Pick: Redskins 24 - Lions 20

Green Bay Packers @ St Louis Rams
Spread: Packer, -6.5
o/u: 41
The Packers lost last week to a Bengals team they should have beaten. Their knew 3-4 defense didn't look as good as it did in Week 1, and Greg Jennings had no catches for the first time in his career. Even if that trend continues this week, they'll still beat a Rams team that hasn't looked good in years.
Pick: Packers 31 - Rams 6

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
Spread: Ravens, -13.5
o/u: 38.5
Last weeks high spread/low o/u ended in a 9-7 win for the Redskins. While the Ravens have looked good this year, they've given up some points and some passing yards. Good for them that the Browns passing game sucks.
Pick: Ravens 24 - Browns 10

San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings
Spread: Viking, -7
o/u: 39
With both teams off to 2-0 starts and similar offensive stats, this looks like a fairly evenly matched game. Adrian Peterson exploded in Week 1, and Frank Gore followed up with 209 yards last week for the '9ers. Both teams have questions in their passing games, though. How good is Brett Farves surgically repaired arm, and how far can Shaun Hill take the '9ers this year? With Peterson reportedly having back problems, it may come down to who is better in the air, and I have to give the nod to San Francisco.
Pick: 49ers 24 - Vikings 17

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Spread: Texans, -4
o/u: 47
So which Texans offense will show up this week? The one that couldn't do anything against the Jets in Week 1? Or the one that looked more like the Saints in Week 2? Well, last week the Jags made Kurt Warner look like Drew Brees. The Texans stalled running game won't even matter, as long as Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson are healthy for this one.
Pick: Texans 31 - Jaguars 17

Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots
Spread: Pats, -4
o/u: 47
Lets be honest with each other: despite what the analysts are saying, Tom Brady is not back. He even admitted it during the week. The Pats should be 0-2, and he knows it. In eight quarters of football, Brady has looked good in one of them. With a defense trying to replace most of last years starters and Wes Welker and Randy Moss questionable but expected to play for the Pats, the Falcons will have a field day in Foxborough.
Pick: Falcons 28 - Patriots 17

Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Eagles, -8.5
o/u: 40.5
One thing is certain for the Eagles: they can put up points. What isn't certain is Michael Vick's playing time. Honestly, thats a good thing, as the Philly Wildcat hasn't looked that great so far. Kevin Kolb taking over for McNabb, however, has. But against a Chiefs team that lost to Oakland last week, it won't really matter.
Pick: Eagles 38 - Chiefs 13

Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Spread: Bears, -2
o/u: 37
Matt Hasselbeck, the heart of Seattle's offense, and Brian Urlacher, the soul of Chicago's D, are both out. Hasselbeck is the bigger loss here, and the Seahawks D won't stop Jay Cutler, even if he tries to stop himself. The Seahawk's crowd will help keep the score low, but won't help the team win.
Pick: Bears 17 - Seahawks 14

Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers
Spread: Chargers, -6
o/u: 44
Miami has clearly taken a step back this year after last year's surprise run to the playoffs. San Diego will be without LT this week, and Shawne Merriman missed some practice time with groin problems. The Chargers do have two things going for them, though: Miami doesn't have Ray Lewis, but does have Chad Pennington. Darren Sproles will run all over the field, and the Chargers secondary will pick off Chad's floaters at least twice.
Pick: Chargers 31 - Dolphins 14

Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders
Spread: Broncos, - 1.5
o/u: 36
Major players on both teams are on the injury report this week, as the Raiders look to build off of last weeks win. Unfortunately, Oaklands offense looked horrendous last week, and their win looked a lot like Denver's in Week 1. The Broncos, on the other hand, looked good against a bad Browns team. Week 3 against Oakland will look a lot like that.
Pick: Broncos 24 - Raiders 6

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
Spread: Steelers, -4
o/u: 37
I would love to tell you the Steelers will win this one big, but I just can't. While their D has looked good, their offense hasn't been able to put up points in support. Their running game has looked downright awful. And without Troy Polomalu, that trend will probably continue. The Bengals, on the other hand, looked spectacular against Green Bay last week. Even without Chris Henry putting up much production, Carson Palmer led a strong passing game. If he can stay consistent, they'll victimize the Polomalu-less pass defense all day.
Pick: Bengals 24 - Steelers 13

Indianapolis Colts @ Arizona Cardinals
Spread: Cardinals, -2.5
o/u: 48
The Colts will be without Bob Sanders. If their was ever a player you could say anchors a defense, its him. The team is clearly much better with him than without him. And coming off a short week, with an offense that hasn't looked as good as it has in the past, and having to travel out to Arizona, they won't be able to get it done.
Pick: Cardinals 31 - Colts 13

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