Saturday, September 19, 2009

NFL Week 2 Preview

New England Patriots @ New York Jets
Spread: Patriots, -3.5
o/u:46
This has become the most talked about game of the week, mostly because the Jets are doing all the talking. What most other people are saying is "Tom Brady is back! Two late TDs against Buffalo! A come from behind victory! Tom Brady is back!" What their not saying is that Tom Brady played more like Carson Palmer has lately than himself for three quarters. The Jets will bring more, different, and better pressure than the Bills did to break the streak of eight straights loses at home to the Pats.
Pick: Jets 27 - Patriots 20

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Spread: Titans, -6.5
o/u: 41
A lot of people expected Houston to win thier division this year. I wasn't one of them, and Week 1 against the Jets proved why. This week, they run into an equally good defense, and will probably have many of the same problems moving the ball that they did last week.
Pick: Titans 24 - Texans 10

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Spread: Vikings, -10
o/u: 45.5
Adrian Peterson will have three more TDs in this game. The Lions will have two, as a team. The rest of the Vikings will help cover the spread and the over.
Pick: Vikings 35 - Lions 17

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Spread: Falcons, -6.5
o/u: 42.5
Jake Delhomme looked bad last week. Even if he gets back to old form, he has a tough Atlanta D to face. The Panther's also don't have the D to stop Atlanta's offense, with Michael Turner rushing for 4 TDs against Carolina the last time they met. I don't thinke he'll match that output, but I also don't think he needs to.
Pick: Falcons 31 - Panthers 10

St Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins
Spread: Redskins, -10
o/u: 37
The line on this game just doesn't make sense to me. Sure both teams didn't look that great last week, but a spread of 10 with a low under? Do the oddsmakers really think Washington will win 14-0? I don't.
Pick: Redskins 21 - Rams 17

Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Spread: Chiefs, -3
o/u:38.5
Fall all of Oaklands faults, they do have a strong defense. They also almost beat San Diego last week. For KC, Matt Cassel still has knee problems. Whoever suits up at QB this week, look for Oakland to victimize them often, with both sacks and INTs.
Pick: Raiders 24 - Chiefs 20

Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers
Spread: Packers, -9
o/u:42
Don't let the miraculous, last second loss fool you: Cincinnati sucked last week. Carson Palmer claims Chris Henry was a non-factor because of Denver's D. I say he was a non-factor because Carson Palmer doesn't have it any more. Meanwhile, the Packers look like they did last year on O, and much improved on D.
Pick: Packers 28 - Bengals 7

New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Saints, -1
o/u: 46.5
I like the Eagles this year, but not this week. Last week their offense looked okay against an okay Panthers defense, and their defense looked amazing against a weak Panther's O. That won't be the case this week. With Donovan McNabb probably out, the offense will continue to look okay, and with the high-powered Saints offense on the other side, the defense won't look so great any more. Brees won't throw for 6 TDs this week, but he won't need to, either.
Pick: Saints 34 - Eagles 20

Arizona Cardinals @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Spread: Jaguars, -3
o/u: 42.5
Niether teams offense looked very good last week as both lost close games they could have won. The big factor here are the Cardinals receivers, who are pretty banged up already. That will keep them from putting up big points, and the Jags will cover easily.
Pick: Jaguars 28 - Cardinals 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills
Spread: Bills, -5
o/u: 42
This is the first time in history the Bucs will play in Buffalo, and its already pretty cold up there. The Bucs D looked silly in a bad way against Dallas last week, and TO and the Bills will easily take agvantage of that. The Bills also looked surprisingly decent against the Pats last week, which means more problems for Tampa and Raheem Morris, the league's youngest head coach.
Pick: Bills 35 - Buccaneers 17

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
Spread: 49ers, -1.5
o/u: 39.5
A healthy Seahawks team spells doom for the rest of the NFC West. The 49ers surprised everyone by beating the NFC champs, but it was a Cardinals team with a bunch of injured receivers. The only injury of note for Seattle is Deion Branch, and he hasn't done anything for them since joining the team anyway. Matt Hasselbeck might throw a pass or two to the wrong team, but Seattles D will get it right back for him.
Pick: Seahawks 24 - 49ers 17

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears
Spread: Steelers, -3
o/u: 37.5
Everyone is expecting a huge bounce-back game for Jay Cutler, including me. He'll only throw 3 picks this week, one for a touchdown. How does anyone think Cutler will bounce back against the Steelers? Are the Steelers secretly dressing the Lions Defense this week? Both teams will be without their defensive stars, as the Steelers lost Troy Polomalu for a few weeks, and the Bears lost Brian Urlacher for the season. This will hurt Chicago more than it hurts Pittsburgh.
Pick: Steelers 24 - Bears 10

Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers
Spread: Chargers, -3
o/u: 40.5
Why anyone thinks San Diego will do well outside of their division is beyond me. Both teams put up good numbers late last week, but the Chargers are facing a defense much better than the Oakland one the almost lost to last week. Oh, and Baltimore's offense is better than Oaklands, too.
Pick: Ravens 24 - Chargers 17

Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos
Spread: Denver, -3
o/u: 38.5
Lets be honest here: Denver's win last week was only thanks to a fluke play. And Cleveland had to try and stop Adrian Peterson. I look at the Broncos and I don't see an Adrian Peterson among them. In fact, last week the Broncos put up less than half the rushing yards Peterson had as a team. Last week Brady Quinn got the start at QB for the Browns, and probably will this week, too. In the match-up of Kyle Orton vs Brady Quinn, I'll take Quinn.
Pick: Browns 17 - Broncos 13

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys, -3
Spread: 44.5
The Cowboys open their new stadium this week. They expect over 100,000 fans to show up. The knew scoreboard alone probably generates enough energy to propel the 'Boys to victory. The Giants are probably the better team, but sometimes home field advantage is too much to overcome.
Pick: Cowboys 24 - Giants 13

No comments:

Post a Comment